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Home Publications Blogs Beat the Press House Prices Are Not Depressed

House Prices Are Not Depressed

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Tuesday, 29 November 2011 21:28

A NYT article on President Obama's latest program to help underwater homeowners included the assertion:

"an increasing number of economists worry that depressed housing prices and underwater borrowers are holding back a broader recovery."

Actually, the United States does not have depressed housing prices. According to the Case Schiller national house price index, inflation adjusted house prices are still more than 9 percent above their 1996 level. The problem was that the country had a housing bubble that is now mostly deflated. The problem in the economy is not a depressed housing market.

Comments (6)Add Comment
Cardinal Measures are For Zero Sum Neoclassical Nerd Economists, Low-rated comment [Show]
Comments like Izzatso's are ignorant of reality.
written by goedelite, November 30, 2011 2:31 PM
We have government's hand in the economy because the capitilists demanded it to avoid the consequences of a truly free market: competition that would drive them out of business. Government stepped in to give favored capitalists privileged places in the economy from which they could operate without the threat of destructive competition. Izzatso recognizes the problems of having done so: the privileged, the elite, having been favored, take over not only the market but the government itself. Capitalism just does not work. Only an active citizenry works, but we don't have that either.
ordinal
written by beezer, November 30, 2011 2:57 PM
As in the ordinal ranking where the confidence fairy comes first, the invisible hand second, and the laissez fairy third.

Glad the Austrians got that all figured out.
...
written by urban legend, November 30, 2011 4:00 PM
That data linked is less than transparent, with no additional navigation from that file available. How do you get to the 9% figure? I calculate the annual increase from those numbers at almost exactly 3% per year. Isn't that slightly below the historic rate of inflation in housing prices?
Charts of global housing prices
written by AndrewDover, November 30, 2011 6:35 PM
The economist has some charts of global housing prices:

http://www.economist.com/blogs...use-prices

South Africa and Japan are the outliers.
Actually, prices have more than 9 percent to fall
written by BR, December 01, 2011 1:44 PM
because we're likely going to dip below the trend line. Maybe 15 percent is more likely, and much more if we enter a euro-induced depression.

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About Beat the Press

Dean Baker is co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, D.C. He is the author of several books, his latest being The End of Loser Liberalism: Making Markets Progressive. Read more about Dean.

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