CEPR - Center for Economic and Policy Research

Multimedia

En Español

Em Português

Other Languages

Home Publications Blogs CEPR Blog Social Security and the Washington Post: Who Is Going Down First?

Social Security and the Washington Post: Who Is Going Down First?

Print
Written by Dean Baker   
Thursday, 30 September 2010 09:15

This is the question that millions are asking. And, we have the answer for you. The chart below projects out the payable real Social Security benefit for an average worker retiring at age 65. These numbers are derived from the intermediate projections in the 2010 Social Security Trustees report. Note that the benefit is in 2009 dollars, meaning that it is adjusted for inflation.

Washington Post Circulation and Average Payable Social Security Benefit

The numbers for the Washington Post show the actual decline in circulation from 2002 to 2010 taken from ABC Reader Profile Studies and ABC-Audience Fax E-Trends Tool. For later years it projects out the 3.7 percent average annual rate of decline over this period.

Note that, even if nothing is ever done, Social Security will always be able to pay out a higher real benefit than is received by retirees today. After 2037 it would no longer be able to pay full scheduled benefits, but the payable benefit in 2038 would still be 12.1 percent higher than what the average retiree gets this year. The payable benefit in 2085, the last year in the planning period, would be nearly twice the average benefit in 2010.

The prospects for the Washington Post don't looks quite so good. Its average daily circulation in 2010, at 580,000, is already 25.9 below its 2002 level. By 2038, when Social Security is first projected to face a shortfall, on its current path, the Post circulation would have dropped by 68.1 percent to 185,000. By the end of the Social Security's planning period in 2085, the current trend would put the Post's average daily circulation at 27,000.

Comments (3)Add Comment
...
written by China Electronics Wholesale, October 20, 2010 10:25
The leading China wholesale electronics marketplaces!
moncler jackets men
written by moncler jackets, November 23, 2010 11:09
Moncler jackets on sale sports apparel company established in 1952 Rome, Texas Lemon village in the French Alps. In an unprecedented social shop moncler sale is the inventor of the famous hot, very light, ideal for all winter ski clothes simple colors. Moncler jackets for cheap and comfortable port of French fashion is not so outdated. We believe
...
written by SFP, December 01, 2010 9:33
Best deals on optical transceivers. Buy SFP Plus, SFP+, X2, XENPAK, XFP, WS-G5487,WS-G5483,SFP, GBIC for Cisco,HP and 3Com with lowest prices and lifetime warranty.

Write comment

(Only one link allowed per comment)

This content has been locked. You can no longer post any comments.

busy
 

CEPR.net
Support this blog, donate
Combined Federal Campaign #79613
budget economy education employment Haiti health care housing inequality jobs labor labor market minimum wage OccupyWallSt poverty recession retirement Social Security taxes unemployment unions wages Wall Street women workers working class

+ All tags