U.S. Relations with Brazil and South America Still Worsening
The only thing missing from Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff’s speech at the U.N. General Assembly in September was “it still smells like sulfur.” For those who don’t remember, these were the immortal words of then-President Hugo Chávez of Venezuela in 2006, describing the podium where “the devil” – his name for President George W. Bush – had spoken the day before. Chávez’s speech received hearty applause and prompted some New Yorkers to hang a banner from a highway overpass that said “Wake Up and Smell the Sulfur.”
Dilma’s speech also got a lot of applause at the General Assembly, and because she spoke immediately before President Obama, her remarks were even more pointed. She presented a stinging rebuke to the Obama administration’s mass surveillance operations, at home and abroad:
Dilma also took a swipe at Obama’s previously-planned – and then cancelled due to popular demand – bombing of Syria: “[W]e repudiate unilateral interventions contrary to International Law, without Security Council authorization.”
Her remarks were a reminder, and for some a new discovery, that the differences between the newly independent governments of South America on hemispheric and foreign policy issues were mostly a matter of style and rhetoric, not of substance.
The speech came in the wake of the cancellation of Dilma’s scheduled October state visit to the White House, which would have been the first by a Brazilian president in nearly two decades. It was another blow to the Obama administration’s tepid efforts to improve relations with Brazil, and with South America in general.
At this moment U.S.-South American relations are probably even worse than they were under the George W. Bush administration, despite the huge advantage that President Obama has in terms of media image, and therefore popularity, in the hemisphere. This illustrates how deeply structural the problem in hemispheric relations has become, and how unlikely they are to become warmer in the foreseeable future.
The fundamental cause of the strained relationship is that Washington refuses to recognize that there is a new reality in the region, since left governments have been elected by the vast majority of South America. In Washington’s foreign policy establishment – including most think tanks and other sources of analysis and opinion – there has been almost no acknowledgement that a new strategy might be necessary. Of course, most of the foreign policy establishment doesn’t care much about Latin America. And there is no electoral price to be paid for stupidity that leads to worsening relations with the region. On the contrary, the main electoral pressure on the White House comes from the far right, including neocons and old guard Cuban Americans. And Obama is not above caving to these interests when the White House and State Department are not already on their side. But among those who do care about Latin America – from an imperial point of view -- the lack of imagination is breathtaking.
The establishment has, over the past 15 years, sometimes adopted a “good left, bad left” strategy that sought first and foremost to try and isolate Venezuela, often lumping in Bolivia, Ecuador, and sometimes Argentina as the “bad left.” But in the halls of power, they really don’t like any of the left governments and are hoping to get rid of them all. In 2005, according to State Department documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, the U.S. government promoted legislation within Brazil that would have weakened the Workers’ Party.
So it is not surprising that Brazil has, according to the documents revealed by former NSA contractor and whistleblower Edward Snowden, been the top Latin American target for U.S. spying. It’s a lot like all the other left governments that Washington would like to get rid of, only bigger. It is true that countries with U.S.-allied governments like Mexico were also targeted, but in the context of Brazil’s alliance with other left governments, the large-scale espionage there – which reportedly included monitoring of Dilma’s personal phone calls and emails -- takes on a different meaning.
In the past decade of Workers’ Party government, Brazil has lined up fairly consistently with the other left governments on hemispheric issues and relations with the United States. When the Bush administration tried to expand its military presence in Colombia, Brazil was there with the rest of the region in opposition. The same was true when Washington aided and abetted the overthrow of “targets of opportunity” among the left governments: Honduras in 2009 and Paraguay in 2012 – although in these cases the U.S. and its allies still prevailed. Brazil also supported other efforts at regional integration and independence, including UNASUR (the Union of South American Nations), which has played an important role in defending member countries from right-wing destabilization attempts: as in Bolivia in 2008; or the April elections in Venezuela, where the Obama administration supported opposition efforts to overturn the results with obviously false claims of electoral fraud. (A CEPR study showed that the probability of getting the April 14 election day audit results confirming Nicolás Maduro’s win, if the vote had actually been stolen, was less than one in 25 thousand trillion.)
Lula made a conscious decision that Brazil would look more to the south and less to the United States as a leader in its foreign and commercial policy. In a recent interview with the Argentine daily Pagina/12, he explained how important the turning point of Mar del Plata was, when the proposed Free Trade Area of the Americas was finally buried at the Summit of the Americas in 2005:
In 2002, when Lula was elected, Brazil’s exports to the U.S. were 26.4 percent of its total exports. By 2011, they were down to 10.4 percent. Meanwhile, China’s economy is by some measures already bigger than the U.S. economy, and it will probably double in size over the next decade. The United States will become increasingly less important to Brazil, and to South America generally. Given that Washington still does not respect Latin American sovereignty, much less the goals and aspirations of its democratic governments, that has to be seen as a good thing for the region.
Mark Weisbrot is co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, in Washington, D.C. He is also president of Just Foreign Policy.