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CEPR Studies Find Significant
Job Loss in Key Swing States
Performance worse in these states than nation
For Immediate Release: September 14, 2004
Contact: Debi Kar, 202- 387-5080
Peter Wiley, Keystone Research Center
570-522-0738
Amy Hanauer, Policy Matters Ohio, 216-931-9922
In the context of the upcoming Presidential election, there has been much
discussion of the recent economic performance of likely swing states, including
Pennsylvania,
Michigan,
and Ohio. Three state-level studies released today by
the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) show that over the
last four years, state labor-market conditions have been worse in Pennsylvania,
Michigan, and Ohio than the nation as a whole. The studies reach their
conclusions after examining data on job creation, employment and unemployment
rates, and the loss of long-term jobs, during the period between the economy's
high-water mark in early 2001 and the summer of 2004. The sharp national
deterioration in the manufacturing sector, the reports argue, has hit
Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Ohio particularly hard, but the economic pain cuts
across most of the three states' economies.
"Workers in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Ohio will head to the polls in
November facing state economies that are far weaker than in most of the rest of
the country," said John Schmitt, the reports' author. "At a national
level, the economic recovery since 2001 has been very weak by historical
standards, but these three states have generally lagged behind even this poor
performance."
Between March 2001 and July 2004, Pennsylvania lost over 81,000 jobs, or 1.4
percent of total jobs in the state. This rate was slightly worse than the
national average job loss of 1.1 percent over the same period. Pennsylvania has
also lost a higher percentage of "long-tenure" jobs (one held for
three years or longer) than the nation. In fact, between 2001 and 2003, nearly
1 in 20 workers in Pennsylvania lost a long-term job, compared to about 1 in 25
workers nationally.
In the same 2001 to 2004 period, Michigan lost 247,000 jobs, or 5.4 percent
of total jobs in the state. This decline was considerably worse than the
national average job loss of 1.1 percent over the same period. Michigan has also
lost a large number of "long-tenure" jobs (jobs held for three years
or longer). In fact, between 2001 and 2003, about 1 in 25 workers in Michigan
lost a long-term job. While the rise in displacement rose nationally by 0.9
percentage points, the rate rose almost twice as fast in Michigan: by 1.7
percentage points.
In that same 2001 to 2004 period, Ohio lost 217,000 jobs, or 3.9 percent of
total jobs in the state. This rate was considerably worse than the national
average job loss of 1.1 percent over the same period. Ohio has also lost a large
number of "long-tenure" jobs (jobs held for three years or longer). In
fact, between 2001 and 2003, nearly 1 in 25 workers in Ohio lost a long-term
job.
To access the reports, click on the appropriate state below:
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