August 2009, Dean Baker

The new economic projections from the Congressional Budget Office show the economy remaining well below its potential level of output until 2014. The projections show the unemployment rate averaging 10.2 percent in 2010 and gradually edging down to the long-term sustainable rate of 4.8 percent by 2014. Over this 4 year period, the workforce will face a substantially higher risk of unemployment or underemployment due to insufficient demand in the economy. This paper highlights some of the main implications of CBO’s new economic projections.

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